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Speaking notes: Congressional Hearing (part 2)

The terms of the ultimation issued at Rambouillet were clearly designed to ensure that the Serbian side would find it impossible to accept them. The trick was to keep the meddlesome Russians and the United Nations out of the action and thus avoid the risk that diplomatic options might be offered which would have avoided the use of deadly force. NATO needed its war. The assumption appeared to be that after a few days of bombing the Yugoslavs would be forced to accept the terms of Rambouillet

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As the bombing continued NATO was forced to switch it’s targeting to the civilian infrastructure. Public opinion in the European countries began to oppose the war. NATO became desperate to find a way out of the mess they had created. The alliance that had rejected diplomacy as an option was forced ironically to find a diplomatic solution. Even more ironically, they had to turn to the Russians and the United Nations to fix it for them.
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This was done by getting NATO to drop the two conditions they had included at Rambouillet for the purpose of ensuring a Serb rejection; namely, the acceptance of NATO troops throughout Yugoslavia and the holding of a referendum on autonomy for Kosovo. When NATO dropped the two conditions that had caused the war, Milosevic readily accepted the peace terms outlined by United Nations resolution 1244. So much for the NATO victory!
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I am afraid that just as NATO mismanaged the war in Kosovo they will mismanage the peace. The events that have taken place there since the fighting stopped is not encouraging. Despite the presence of 40,000 NATO and UN forces, murder and kidnapping, burning of churches and the ethnic cleansing of Serbs, Romas and Muslim Slavs continues almost on a daily basis. It seems evident that it is the KLA not NATO or the UN that is governing Kosovo.
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The stability of the Balkans has never been so precarious. Albanian dreams of uniting all of their people in one territory has been encouraged by the Kosovo debacle. The former republic of Macedonia with its large Albanian population is a potential powder keg. The Albanians are increasing demands for self-determination and possible secession.
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Serbia crippled economically and psychologically is festering with bitterness and hostility. Encumbered by a government increasingly isolated from the people and desperate to remain in power by any means, the country is ripe for civil war. It still has one of the most powerful armies in Europe. Should relations with Montenegro continue to deteriorate we could see another armed conflict breakout with all of the terrible consequences of internecine struggle.
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Given the track record of the western democracies in Yugoslavia I am not optimistic that they will respond to the challenges there with good sense and good diplomacy. Their tendency to over simplify complicated situations, their compulsion to identify for TV audiences good guys and bad guys, their avoidance of telling the truth to their own citizens about the real issues.
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These characteristics of our present day leadership do not inspire me with hope about the future of the Balkans.
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Even more disturbing is the reality that in our new unipolar world the overwhelming military power of the United States seems to lead it inevitably to resort to force in the resolution of international disputes rather than to use its strength and influence to bring about just and equitable solutions. Why go through the difficult and lengthy process of diplomatic negotiations when you can threaten to bomb from 15000 feet with no risk of American casualties?
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As a long-range policy this approach could be disasterous. History endures and power relationships change. Nobody respects a bully or admires someone that doesn’t play by the rules. As the saying goes, “What goes around comes around.” There will inevitably be a day when the United States will want to be able to rely on an international security framework that is fair and abides by the rule of law.
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I think we can learn from Kosovo. Let us not turn our backs on the principles that have served us so well in the past. Let us abide by the rules of the UN charter even while we strive to reform that body. Let us be reluctant to intervene in the domestic affairs of a sovereign state without Security Council or general assembly approval. Let us try to stay out of civil wars unless our own vital interests are at stake or if we must intervene let us do so objectively in an effort to resolve the dispute by peaceful means.
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I would hope that Kosovo has taught us to be more demanding of our political leaders. In the case of my own country Canadians woke up one morning last march to find that Canadian pilots were bombing Yugoslavia. There had been no declaration of war, no debate in our parliament.

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We were bombing a country that presented no threat to Canada. A country that had fought along side of us in two World Wars. The vast majority of Canadians had no idea of where Kosovo was or what were the issues.
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We were asked to simply accept the fact that we were on the side of the good guys. After all we were a democracy and could not stand by while thousands of people were being murdered in Kosovo.
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Moreover we were part of the NATO team and everyone knew that NATO was there to represent the rule of law, democracy and the principles of the United Nations Charter. If we were bombing fellow human beings in Belgrade, Novi Sad or Pancevo at least we were doing it for humanitarian reasons so it must be OK. This is the message the Canadian political leaders were telling Canadians about Kosovo. I found this pretty disturbing stuff.
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I think Kosovo should have also taught us to accept the reality that those who struggle for self- determination are struggling for territory. The one is intrinsically bound up with the other. President Havel of the Czech republic received a standing ovation in the Canadian parliament when he declared that Kosovo was the first war in history fought for human values rather than territory. He was wrong. The struggle in Kosovo was all about territory and who should control it –Serbs or Albanians.
That struggle is not yet settled.

      

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